Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Sedlak on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sedlak shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Sedlak 50.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Sedlak leads 6-4 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Sedlak 56.7%
Defensive zone
Sedlak 54.4%
Neutral zone
Sedlak 56.1%
Result
Lukas Sedlak favored at 55.7%
44.3%
55.7%
Ryan
Sedlak
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
6
(10 meetings)
4
6
Ryan
Sedlak
Last 10: Ryan 4-6 Sedlak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Sedlak
1
3
Ryan
Sedlak
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sedlak
1
3
Ryan
Sedlak
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Sedlak
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Sedlak
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
51.1% (998)
+5.5%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
56.5% (23)
-3.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
44.3% (70)
+3.5%
On even strength, Ryan has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sedlak shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Sedlak is 52.3% vs right-shot opponents (348).
Home / Away
Ryan
Sedlak
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.9% (557)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
49.6% (534)
By Period
Ryan
Sedlak
P1
55.1%
51.9%
P2
54.7%
48.8%
P3
56.0%
52.0%
OT
58.3%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.5%
53.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Sedlak
44.0%▼
45.5%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:54 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2017 | 2 | 03:41 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Oct 10, 2017 | 3 | 11:10 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 16:14 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Mar 30, 2017 | 2 | 12:13 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 3 | 13:16 | Defensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 21, 2017 | 2 | 09:05 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 02:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 02:43 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |
| Jan 10, 2017 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Lukas Sedlak |