Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 8 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Thompson 52.9% (+2.4%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 70.6%
Defensive zone
Thompson 55.3%
Neutral zone
Ryan 61.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Ryan
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Ryan
Thompson
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
2
Ryan
Thompson
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
4
Ryan
Thompson
6 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Thompson
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
54.1% (5,812)
+2.5%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
54.8% (135)
-1.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
47.9% (1,381)
-0.1%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Thompson is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (2,660).
Home / Away
Ryan
Thompson
Home
56.2% (2,559)
54.8% (3,626)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
51.1% (3,717)
By Period
Ryan
Thompson
P1
55.1%
53.2%
P2
54.7%
52.9%
P3
56.0%
52.8%
OT
58.3%
47.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 13, 2020 | 3 | 17:18 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 05:24 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Dec 19, 2019 | 2 | 02:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 10, 2018 | 1 | 08:49 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |