Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (55.9% vs 55.7%). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Thompson shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.9% vs Thompson 54.3% (+0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 51.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 52.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.7%
52.7%
47.3%
Ryan
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Ryan
Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
0
1
Ryan
Thompson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Thompson
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
60.2% (387)
55.5% (236)
+4.7%
Power Play
28.6% (7)
60.0% (5)
-31.4%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
56.5% (46)
-13.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +31.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (370).
Ryan shoots right. Thompson is 55.7% vs right-shot opponents (88).
Home / Away
Ryan
Thompson
Home
56.7% (254)
53.1% (128)
Away
55.0% (258)
57.9% (159)
By Period
Ryan
Thompson
P1
56.9%
59.0%
P2
51.7%
55.4%
P3
59.2%
52.6%
Final 5 min
53.6%
51.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 11:43 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 3 | 04:18 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |