Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Thompson 50.3% (+1.6%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 7-5 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 68.4%
Defensive zone
Thompson 61.9%
Neutral zone
Thompson 53.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Ryan
Thompson
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
5
(12 meetings)
7
5
Ryan
Thompson
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Thompson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
1
Ryan
Thompson
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thompson
2
3
Ryan
Thompson
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Thompson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Thompson
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
49.6% (230)
+4.7%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
50.0% (2)
-12.5%
Penalty Kill
41.5% (41)
53.8% (52)
-12.3%
On power play, Thompson has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thompson shoots left. Ryan is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Ryan shoots right. Thompson is 48.8% vs right-shot opponents (121).
Home / Away
Ryan
Thompson
Home
50.9% (167)
52.2% (134)
Away
53.5% (127)
48.7% (150)
By Period
Ryan
Thompson
P1
44.0%
54.5%
P2
61.7%
48.0%
P3
50.5%
48.2%
Final 5 min
54.2%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Thompson
64.0%▲
59.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 19:47 | Offensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 3 | 16:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 15:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 29, 2021 | 1 | 00:33 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 3 | 05:44 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2021 | 2 | 06:19 | Neutral | Nate Thompson |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 15:24 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 2 | 09:07 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 26, 2021 | 1 | 13:13 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 05:47 | Defensive | Nate Thompson |
| Jan 14, 2021 | 1 | 02:24 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |