Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Hischier on offensive-zone draws (90% H2H, 10 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hischier shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Hischier 52.6% (+2.7%)
H2H factor
Hischier leads 15-7 in 22 meetings
Offensive zone
Hischier 63.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 52.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 52.2%
Result
Nico Hischier favored at 55.1%
44.9%
55.1%
Ryan
Hischier
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
15
(22 meetings)
7
15
Ryan
Hischier
Last 10: Ryan 2-8 Hischier
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hischier
1
9
Ryan
Hischier
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
6
2
Ryan
Hischier
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hischier
0
4
Ryan
Hischier
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Hischier
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
51.5% (8,379)
+5.1%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
59.7% (1,736)
-6.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
49.4% (903)
-1.6%
On power play, Hischier has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hischier shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Hischier is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,970).
Home / Away
Ryan
Hischier
Home
56.2% (2,559)
53.0% (5,449)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
52.2% (5,569)
By Period
Ryan
Hischier
P1
55.1%
52.9%
P2
54.7%
52.4%
P3
56.0%
52.6%
OT
58.3%
50.6%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Hischier
50.0%▼
56.0%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:00 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 02:49 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 2 | 18:43 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 10, 2023 | 1 | 15:01 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 3 | 18:26 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 2 | 02:26 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 21, 2022 | 1 | 02:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 3, 2022 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 06:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 3 | 04:41 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 2 | 15:07 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 19, 2022 | 1 | 06:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 2 | 12:11 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 11:43 | Neutral | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 04:11 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Dec 31, 2021 | 1 | 01:27 | Offensive | Nico Hischier |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Nico Hischier |
| Mar 27, 2018 | 1 | 10:05 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |