Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Holland shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Holland 45.9% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 89.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 89.8%
Neutral zone
Ryan 91.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 90.0%
90.0%
10.0%
Ryan
Holland
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Ryan
Holland
Last 5: Ryan 4-1 Holland
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Holland
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Holland
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Holland
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
45.6% (2,232)
+11.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
52.4% (126)
+0.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
42.3% (137)
+5.5%
On even strength, Ryan has a +11.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Holland shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Holland is 42.8% vs right-shot opponents (890).
Home / Away
Ryan
Holland
Home
56.2% (2,559)
48.6% (1,288)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
42.7% (1,207)
By Period
Ryan
Holland
P1
55.1%
46.1%
P2
54.7%
47.3%
P3
56.0%
43.9%
OT
58.3%
39.1%
Final 5 min
52.5%
46.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Holland
38.0%▼
48.0%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2017 | 2 | 11:55 | Offensive | Peter Holland |
| Mar 5, 2017 | 1 | 09:03 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 3 | 03:00 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 2 | 14:28 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 3, 2017 | 1 | 17:29 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |