Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Faksa on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 11 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Faksa 52.4% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 21-19 in 40 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 76.7%
Defensive zone
Faksa 56.0%
Neutral zone
Ryan 66.8%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
Ryan
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
21
-
19
(40 meetings)
21
19
Ryan
Faksa
Last 10: Ryan 5-5 Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
11
5
Ryan
Faksa
16 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Faksa
0
11
Ryan
Faksa
11 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
10
3
Ryan
Faksa
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
52.8% (6,681)
+3.8%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
57.7% (291)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
49.3% (1,372)
-1.5%
On power play, Faksa has a +4.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Faksa is 51.7% vs right-shot opponents (3,151).
Home / Away
Ryan
Faksa
Home
56.2% (2,559)
52.9% (4,092)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
51.9% (4,252)
By Period
Ryan
Faksa
P1
55.1%
53.0%
P2
54.7%
52.5%
P3
56.0%
52.0%
OT
58.3%
45.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
52.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 3 | 13:55 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 16, 2023 | 2 | 06:34 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 3 | 15:49 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Apr 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 22, 2022 | 2 | 16:01 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 07:12 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 14:45 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 12:41 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Nov 13, 2019 | 2 | 10:01 | Neutral | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 13:22 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 3 | 08:42 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 13:14 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:34 | Offensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:50 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Oct 10, 2019 | 1 | 01:21 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 18:28 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 17:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 27, 2019 | 2 | 00:57 | Defensive | Radek Faksa |