Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +3.4% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Faksa shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Faksa 56.2% (+3.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 63.1%
Defensive zone
Faksa 54.6%
Neutral zone
Faksa 51.1%
Result
Radek Faksa favored at 51.1%
48.9%
51.1%
Ryan
Faksa
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Ryan
Faksa
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Faksa
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Faksa
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
56.9% (671)
+4.5%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
85.7% (7)
+14.3%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
55.0% (80)
-3.3%
On power play, Ryan has a +14.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Faksa shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Faksa is 59.6% vs right-shot opponents (275).
Home / Away
Ryan
Faksa
Home
64.2% (137)
59.5% (375)
Away
55.8% (113)
54.6% (383)
By Period
Ryan
Faksa
P1
58.9%
61.2%
P2
62.8%
54.5%
P3
59.3%
55.5%
Final 5 min
51.6%
54.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Faksa
54.0%▲
50.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024 | 2 | 10:07 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |