Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (77% H2H, 13 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sheahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Sheahan 50.1% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 23-13 in 36 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 91.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 77.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 89.0%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 86.8%
86.8%
13.2%
Ryan
Sheahan
Head-to-Head Record
23
-
13
(36 meetings)
23
13
Ryan
Sheahan
Last 10: Ryan 8-2 Sheahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
9
4
Ryan
Sheahan
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sheahan
4
6
Ryan
Sheahan
10 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
10
3
Ryan
Sheahan
13 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Sheahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
51.0% (4,968)
+5.6%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
55.6% (322)
-2.4%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
44.3% (1,068)
+3.5%
On even strength, Ryan has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sheahan shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Sheahan is 51.3% vs right-shot opponents (2,365).
Home / Away
Ryan
Sheahan
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.1% (3,247)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
49.0% (3,111)
By Period
Ryan
Sheahan
P1
55.1%
51.3%
P2
54.7%
51.2%
P3
56.0%
48.1%
OT
58.3%
35.6%
Final 5 min
52.5%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Sheahan
52.0%▲
49.0%
50.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 3, 2021 | 3 | 01:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 2 | 12:40 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 13:46 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 3, 2021 | 1 | 02:50 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 16:11 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 1, 2021 | 1 | 04:38 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 19:16 | Defensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 3 | 16:53 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 10:16 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 1, 2020 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 29, 2020 | 1 | 04:53 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 3 | 02:33 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 2 | 01:24 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 11:52 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Jan 11, 2020 | 1 | 05:07 | Neutral | Riley Sheahan |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:25 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 05:49 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 27, 2019 | 2 | 01:56 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:25 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |
| Feb 14, 2019 | 2 | 05:20 | Offensive | Riley Sheahan |