Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +1.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 52.0% vs Getzlaf 51.1% (+1.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 56.6%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 55.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 56.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 52.1%
47.9%
52.1%
Ryan
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Ryan
Getzlaf
Last 7: Ryan 1-6 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
1
Ryan
Getzlaf
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
3
Ryan
Getzlaf
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
0
2
Ryan
Getzlaf
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (603)
51.6% (812)
+2.5%
Power Play
40.9% (44)
55.3% (94)
-14.4%
Penalty Kill
45.9% (85)
45.2% (126)
+0.7%
On power play, Getzlaf has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Ryan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Ryan shoots right. Getzlaf is 62.7% vs right-shot opponents (260).
Home / Away
Ryan
Getzlaf
Home
52.5% (341)
52.5% (531)
Away
52.2% (391)
49.9% (503)
By Period
Ryan
Getzlaf
P1
56.0%
47.8%
P2
48.1%
54.6%
P3
52.8%
52.6%
OT
33.3%
27.8%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |