Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Getzlaf on defensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Getzlaf shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Getzlaf 49.8% (+5.5%)
H2H factor
Getzlaf leads 13-5 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Getzlaf 67.4%
Defensive zone
Getzlaf 73.1%
Neutral zone
Getzlaf 72.3%
Result
Ryan Getzlaf favored at 71.0%
29.0%
71.0%
Ryan
Getzlaf
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
13
(18 meetings)
5
13
Ryan
Getzlaf
Last 10: Ryan 3-7 Getzlaf
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Ryan
Getzlaf
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
6
Ryan
Getzlaf
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Getzlaf
1
4
Ryan
Getzlaf
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Getzlaf
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
49.6% (10,258)
+7.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
54.9% (1,381)
-1.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
44.8% (1,055)
+3.0%
On even strength, Ryan has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Getzlaf shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Getzlaf is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (3,584).
Home / Away
Ryan
Getzlaf
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.8% (6,270)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
47.8% (6,495)
By Period
Ryan
Getzlaf
P1
55.1%
49.2%
P2
54.7%
50.4%
P3
56.0%
49.7%
OT
58.3%
49.1%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Getzlaf
54.0%▬
53.5%
49.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 18:32 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 2 | 05:31 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 12:45 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 04:29 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Feb 13, 2020 | 1 | 04:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 05:10 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Oct 20, 2019 | 3 | 01:59 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Apr 3, 2019 | 1 | 15:55 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Nov 7, 2018 | 3 | 06:06 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 3 | 05:56 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 06:34 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 2 | 03:51 | Defensive | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 12:51 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 11, 2017 | 1 | 01:33 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 12:12 | Neutral | Ryan Getzlaf |
| Dec 7, 2016 | 3 | 08:38 | Offensive | Ryan Getzlaf |