Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +10.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (82% H2H, 11 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Strome 44.6% (+10.8%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 16-5 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 78.7%
Defensive zone
Ryan 96.2%
Neutral zone
Ryan 96.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 91.2%
91.2%
8.8%
Ryan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
5
(21 meetings)
16
5
Ryan
Strome
Last 10: Ryan 6-4 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
2
Ryan
Strome
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Strome
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
9
2
Ryan
Strome
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
44.1% (6,839)
+12.5%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
49.3% (854)
+3.9%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
41.5% (410)
+6.3%
On even strength, Ryan has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Strome is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (2,377).
Home / Away
Ryan
Strome
Home
56.2% (2,559)
44.4% (4,046)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
44.7% (4,057)
By Period
Ryan
Strome
P1
55.1%
44.0%
P2
54.7%
45.3%
P3
56.0%
44.3%
OT
58.3%
46.3%
Final 5 min
52.5%
44.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 11:42 | Defensive | Ryan Strome |
| Apr 5, 2023 | 1 | 06:56 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:10 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 3 | 04:06 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 17, 2022 | 2 | 19:32 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 16:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 5, 2021 | 3 | 01:00 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 15:56 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 3 | 09:49 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 15, 2019 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 20, 2018 | 2 | 01:32 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Oct 17, 2017 | 1 | 06:03 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 3 | 09:53 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 1 | 03:54 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |