Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +9.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 63.2% vs right-shot opponents — Strome shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Strome 46.8% (+9.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Strome 68.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 89.1%
Neutral zone
Ryan 73.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 65.4%
65.4%
34.6%
Ryan
Strome
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ryan
Strome
Last 5: Ryan 3-2 Strome
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Strome
0
1
Ryan
Strome
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
1
Ryan
Strome
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Strome
Edge
Even Strength
60.8% (263)
46.4% (371)
+14.4%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
43.3% (97)
+56.7%
Penalty Kill
46.2% (145)
55.6% (18)
-9.4%
On power play, Ryan has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Strome shoots right. Ryan is 63.2% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Ryan shoots right. Strome is 46.3% vs right-shot opponents (147).
Home / Away
Ryan
Strome
Home
56.7% (201)
47.6% (225)
Away
54.8% (208)
44.8% (261)
By Period
Ryan
Strome
P1
56.7%
45.4%
P2
56.8%
47.6%
P3
53.7%
45.2%
Final 5 min
56.1%
45.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.7%
Strome
42.0%▼
44.0%
46.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 16:59 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 11:43 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 2 | 01:48 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 31, 2023 | 1 | 04:15 | Neutral | Ryan Strome |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 1 | 01:02 | Offensive | Ryan Strome |