Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Bennett on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Bennett 53.0% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 53.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 59.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 63.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 57.7%
57.7%
42.3%
Ryan
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ryan
Bennett
Last 6: Ryan 3-3 Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
1
3
Ryan
Bennett
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
53.1% (177)
+3.4%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
56.0% (25)
-0.8%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
64.7% (17)
-1.5%
On even strength, Ryan has a +3.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Bennett is 55.0% vs right-shot opponents (80).
Home / Away
Ryan
Bennett
Home
56.7% (466)
55.1% (118)
Away
56.3% (474)
53.5% (101)
By Period
Ryan
Bennett
P1
55.4%
43.6%
P2
58.1%
62.3%
P3
55.8%
58.3%
Final 5 min
55.6%
60.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 2017 | 3 | 06:01 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 2 | 01:29 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 14:54 | Defensive | Sam Bennett |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:45 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Oct 19, 2017 | 1 | 11:34 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |