Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 61.3% vs left-shot opponents — Bennett shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 57.4% vs Bennett 46.6% (+14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bennett 68.8%
Defensive zone
Ryan 78.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.0%
Result
Sam Bennett favored at 53.0%
47.0%
53.0%
Ryan
Bennett
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Ryan
Bennett
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Bennett
0
2
Ryan
Bennett
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Bennett
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Bennett
Edge
Even Strength
61.4% (220)
46.5% (909)
+14.9%
Power Play
100.0% (1)
43.1% (51)
+56.9%
Penalty Kill
51.7% (29)
38.5% (13)
+13.2%
On power play, Ryan has a +56.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bennett shoots left. Ryan is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (194).
Ryan shoots right. Bennett is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (316).
Home / Away
Ryan
Bennett
Home
64.2% (137)
45.4% (449)
Away
55.8% (113)
46.9% (524)
By Period
Ryan
Bennett
P1
58.9%
49.6%
P2
62.8%
43.7%
P3
59.3%
45.1%
Final 5 min
51.6%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
60.4%
Bennett
56.0%▲
51.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 19:22 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 16, 2024 | 1 | 04:51 | Offensive | Sam Bennett |