Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 55.9% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.9% vs Laughton 51.7% (+4.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 82.3%
Defensive zone
Laughton 51.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 69.4%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Ryan
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Ryan
Laughton
Last 5: Ryan 3-2 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
0
Ryan
Laughton
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
2
Ryan
Laughton
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.5% (816)
52.2% (521)
+4.3%
Power Play
55.2% (105)
46.7% (15)
+8.5%
Penalty Kill
63.2% (19)
51.5% (68)
+11.7%
On penalty kill, Ryan has a +11.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Ryan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (642).
Ryan shoots right. Laughton is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (197).
Home / Away
Ryan
Laughton
Home
56.7% (466)
52.7% (300)
Away
56.3% (474)
51.3% (304)
By Period
Ryan
Laughton
P1
55.4%
51.6%
P2
58.1%
53.8%
P3
55.8%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.6%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
56.5%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
52.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |