Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +4.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Laughton on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Laughton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Laughton 50.4% (+4.9%)
H2H factor
Laughton leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 50.5%
Defensive zone
Ryan 50.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 51.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 50.8%
50.8%
49.2%
Ryan
Laughton
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Ryan
Laughton
Last 10: Ryan 2-8 Laughton
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Ryan
Laughton
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
4
Ryan
Laughton
9 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Laughton
1
3
Ryan
Laughton
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Laughton
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
50.9% (5,383)
+5.7%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
52.6% (327)
+0.6%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
46.6% (887)
+1.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +5.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Laughton shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Laughton is 48.5% vs right-shot opponents (2,268).
Home / Away
Ryan
Laughton
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.2% (3,255)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
49.6% (3,342)
By Period
Ryan
Laughton
P1
55.1%
49.2%
P2
54.7%
52.9%
P3
56.0%
49.1%
OT
58.3%
39.6%
Final 5 min
52.5%
51.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Laughton
56.0%▬
56.0%
50.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:12 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 9, 2023 | 2 | 03:04 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:32 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 2 | 00:54 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 27, 2021 | 1 | 19:59 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 3 | 07:22 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Nov 23, 2019 | 2 | 04:48 | Neutral | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 13:59 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 10:37 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 2 | 06:51 | Offensive | Scott Laughton |
| Oct 15, 2019 | 1 | 01:53 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 5, 2019 | 3 | 01:08 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 3 | 10:22 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Dec 12, 2018 | 1 | 17:47 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 08:01 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 2 | 07:59 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2018 | 1 | 08:32 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 3 | 02:05 | Defensive | Scott Laughton |
| Feb 6, 2018 | 1 | 18:04 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |