Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Horcoff shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Horcoff 49.6% (+5.8%)
Offensive zone
Ryan 54.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 56.9%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.2%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Ryan
Horcoff
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
50.6% (3,133)
+6.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
51.4% (555)
+1.8%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
43.0% (567)
+4.8%
On even strength, Ryan has a +6.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Horcoff is 51.2% vs right-shot opponents (1,303).
Home / Away
Ryan
Horcoff
Home
56.2% (2,559)
51.1% (2,199)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
48.0% (2,104)
By Period
Ryan
Horcoff
P1
55.1%
48.2%
P2
54.7%
49.5%
P3
56.0%
50.9%
OT
58.3%
51.9%
Final 5 min
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
49.5%