Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +17.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 53.5% vs Gionta 43.1% (+17.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 93.1%
Defensive zone
Ryan 66.4%
Neutral zone
Ryan 87.1%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 87.5%
87.5%
12.5%
Ryan
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
1
(8 meetings)
7
1
Ryan
Gionta
Last 8: Ryan 7-1 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
0
Ryan
Gionta
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
0
1
Ryan
Gionta
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Gionta
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
61.1% (54)
41.8% (612)
+19.3%
Power Play
40.0% (5)
61.5% (13)
-21.5%
On power play, Gionta has a +21.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Ryan is 76.9% vs right-shot opponents (13).
Ryan shoots right. Gionta is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (231).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gionta
Home
61.5% (26)
41.3% (344)
Away
57.6% (33)
42.9% (347)
By Period
Ryan
Gionta
P1
70.8%
39.8%
P2
50.0%
46.8%
P3
52.9%
39.5%
Final 5 min
50.0%
35.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
59.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
42.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |