Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +14.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Ryan wins 56.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Gionta 41.2% (+14.5%)
H2H factor
Ryan leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Ryan 95.0%
Defensive zone
Ryan 90.7%
Neutral zone
Ryan 93.7%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 93.3%
93.3%
6.7%
Ryan
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Ryan
Gionta
Last 10: Ryan 7-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
5
0
Ryan
Gionta
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
3
Ryan
Gionta
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
4
1
Ryan
Gionta
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
40.6% (1,902)
+16.0%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
61.5% (26)
-8.3%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
40.1% (292)
+7.7%
On even strength, Ryan has a +16.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Ryan is 56.7% vs right-shot opponents (1,417).
Ryan shoots right. Gionta is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (707).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gionta
Home
56.2% (2,559)
42.6% (1,074)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
39.1% (1,147)
By Period
Ryan
Gionta
P1
55.1%
40.8%
P2
54.7%
41.8%
P3
56.0%
39.8%
OT
58.3%
35.7%
Final 5 min
52.5%
39.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
40.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 14:52 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 14:37 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 11:15 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 04:57 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 3 | 02:04 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 11:02 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 10:54 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 1, 2016 | 1 | 08:15 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |