Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +8.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Gionta on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 53.7% vs right-shot opponents — Gionta shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 54.6% vs Gionta 48.2% (+8.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 77.7%
Defensive zone
Gionta 67.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 53.2%
Result
Stephen Gionta favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Ryan
Gionta
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Ryan
Gionta
Last 6: Ryan 3-3 Gionta
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Gionta
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gionta
1
2
Ryan
Gionta
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Gionta
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Gionta
Edge
Even Strength
54.9% (576)
47.7% (86)
+7.2%
Power Play
59.8% (112)
50.0% (2)
+9.8%
Penalty Kill
42.1% (19)
43.8% (32)
-1.7%
On power play, Ryan has a +9.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gionta shoots right. Ryan is 53.7% vs right-shot opponents (229).
Ryan shoots right. Gionta is 45.2% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Ryan
Gionta
Home
57.7% (355)
48.0% (50)
Away
52.8% (352)
45.7% (70)
By Period
Ryan
Gionta
P1
57.9%
55.8%
P2
53.2%
40.5%
P3
54.8%
42.9%
Final 5 min
51.6%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Gionta
50.0%▲
48.0%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2017 | 3 | 09:46 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 2 | 00:39 | Neutral | Stephen Gionta |
| Apr 6, 2017 | 1 | 11:26 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 14, 2017 | 2 | 12:07 | Defensive | Stephen Gionta |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 09:11 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 02:19 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |