Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 51.5% vs Graovac 47.9% (+6.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 60.4%
Defensive zone
Ryan 64.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 57.3%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 59.9%
59.9%
40.1%
Ryan
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
4
(9 meetings)
5
4
Ryan
Graovac
Last 9: Ryan 5-4 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
2
1
Ryan
Graovac
3 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Ryan
Graovac
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
Ryan
Graovac
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
54.3% (245)
45.1% (91)
+9.2%
Power Play
37.5% (8)
100.0% (1)
-62.5%
On power play, Graovac has a +62.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Ryan is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (214).
Ryan shoots right. Graovac is 47.8% vs right-shot opponents (23).
Home / Away
Ryan
Graovac
Home
50.9% (167)
46.2% (39)
Away
53.5% (127)
45.3% (53)
By Period
Ryan
Graovac
P1
44.0%
39.3%
P2
61.7%
51.4%
P3
50.5%
44.4%
Final 5 min
54.2%
20.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
52.0%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
45.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 11:46 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 19, 2021 | 2 | 04:41 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 3 | 09:28 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 18, 2021 | 3 | 06:17 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:40 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| May 18, 2021 | 2 | 02:40 | Offensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 13, 2021 | 3 | 04:36 | Neutral | Tyler Graovac |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 10:17 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| May 13, 2021 | 1 | 01:29 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |