Scouting Report
Derek Ryan holds a +18.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Ryan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Ryan wins 54.7% vs left-shot opponents — Sanford shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Ryan 55.2% vs Sanford 39.9% (+18.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Ryan 85.6%
Defensive zone
Ryan 96.6%
Neutral zone
Ryan 94.9%
Result
Derek Ryan favored at 92.8%
92.8%
7.2%
Ryan
Sanford
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
2
(9 meetings)
7
2
Ryan
Sanford
Last 9: Ryan 7-2 Sanford
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
0
Ryan
Sanford
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Ryan
3
2
Ryan
Sanford
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Ryan
1
0
Ryan
Sanford
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Ryan
Sanford
Edge
Even Strength
56.6% (4,102)
36.2% (268)
+20.4%
Power Play
53.2% (342)
38.5% (13)
+14.7%
Penalty Kill
47.8% (649)
50.0% (2)
-2.2%
On even strength, Ryan has a +20.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Sanford shoots left. Ryan is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (3,676).
Ryan shoots right. Sanford is 35.5% vs right-shot opponents (110).
Home / Away
Ryan
Sanford
Home
56.2% (2,559)
37.3% (150)
Away
54.4% (2,534)
35.3% (133)
By Period
Ryan
Sanford
P1
55.1%
36.8%
P2
54.7%
33.0%
P3
56.0%
39.8%
Final 5 min
52.5%
38.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Ryan
52.0%▼
60.0%
55.3%
Sanford
36.0%▬
35.0%
36.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2024 | 3 | 06:58 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 25, 2024 | 1 | 02:52 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 06:03 | Defensive | Zachary Sanford |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:23 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 3 | 03:03 | Defensive | Derek Ryan |
| Jan 9, 2024 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 13:03 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 09:34 | Defensive | Zachary Sanford |
| Apr 8, 2017 | 1 | 07:00 | Offensive | Derek Ryan |