Scouting Report
Antti Suomela holds a +7.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Suomela wins 46.7% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Suomela 52.3% vs Stepan 47.7% (+7.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 77.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 61.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 69.6%
30.4%
69.6%
Suomela
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Suomela
Stepan
Last 5: Suomela 2-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
1
Suomela
Stepan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Suomela
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Suomela
1
0
Suomela
Stepan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Suomela
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.4% (90)
47.3% (877)
+7.1%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
54.4% (103)
+45.6%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
45.2% (217)
-45.2%
On power play, Suomela has a +45.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Suomela is 46.7% vs right-shot opponents (45).
Suomela shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Home / Away
Suomela
Stepan
Home
56.3% (71)
50.4% (560)
Away
50.0% (22)
45.1% (637)
By Period
Suomela
Stepan
P1
55.2%
47.4%
P2
53.3%
47.0%
P3
55.9%
48.1%
Final 5 min
58.3%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Suomela
58.0%▲
50.5%
54.8%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 08:31 | Neutral | Antti Suomela |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 2 | 05:48 | Defensive | Antti Suomela |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 18:30 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 15:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 17, 2019 | 1 | 10:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |