Scouting Report
Brad Richardson holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Richardson wins 54.3% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richardson 54.0% vs Stepan 47.0% (+7.7%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 9-2 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 84.6%
Defensive zone
Stepan 84.7%
Neutral zone
Stepan 85.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 84.8%
15.2%
84.8%
Richardson
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
9
(11 meetings)
2
9
Richardson
Stepan
Last 10: Richardson 2-8 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
4
Richardson
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Richardson
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
3
Richardson
Stepan
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richardson
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (861)
46.6% (889)
+7.5%
Power Play
82.4% (17)
46.9% (113)
+35.5%
Penalty Kill
51.8% (83)
47.5% (101)
+4.3%
On power play, Richardson has a +35.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Richardson is 54.3% vs right-shot opponents (350).
Richardson shoots left. Stepan is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (785).
Home / Away
Richardson
Stepan
Home
53.2% (451)
47.7% (555)
Away
55.5% (510)
45.6% (548)
By Period
Richardson
Stepan
P1
52.6%
46.4%
P2
54.4%
45.7%
P3
55.7%
48.5%
OT
66.7%
35.3%
Final 5 min
56.6%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richardson
58.0%▬
58.0%
54.4%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2015 | 3 | 04:10 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 08:30 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 06:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 06:13 | Defensive | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 03:26 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 2 | 09:24 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 15:34 | Neutral | Brad Richardson |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 06:15 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 22, 2015 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |