Scouting Report
Brandon Pirri holds a +5.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Pirri wins 43.1% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pirri 49.5% vs Stepan 44.5% (+5.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 54.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 63.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 59.4%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 61.2%
38.8%
61.2%
Pirri
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Pirri
Stepan
Last 5: Pirri 2-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Pirri
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
2
Pirri
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pirri
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
50.3% (163)
43.5% (942)
+6.8%
Power Play
30.0% (10)
48.1% (162)
-18.1%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (2)
43.0% (128)
+7.0%
On power play, Stepan has a +18.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Pirri is 43.1% vs right-shot opponents (72).
Pirri shoots left. Stepan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Pirri
Stepan
Home
51.1% (94)
45.6% (629)
Away
46.9% (81)
42.5% (603)
By Period
Pirri
Stepan
P1
40.5%
44.7%
P2
47.6%
43.7%
P3
57.4%
43.9%
OT
75.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
38.3%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pirri
50.0%▼
55.0%
49.1%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 15, 2015 | 2 | 18:16 | Defensive | Brandon Pirri |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 10:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 07:49 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 2 | 07:32 | Neutral | Brandon Pirri |
| Feb 2, 2015 | 1 | 15:32 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |