Scouting Report
Brandon Sutter holds a +1.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Sutter 48.8% vs Stepan 47.5% (+1.2%)
H2H factor
Sutter leads 9-6 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 61.7%
Defensive zone
Sutter 79.8%
Neutral zone
Sutter 63.9%
Result
Brandon Sutter favored at 61.9%
61.9%
38.1%
Sutter
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
6
(15 meetings)
9
6
Sutter
Stepan
Last 10: Sutter 7-3 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
3
Sutter
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Sutter
3
0
Sutter
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Sutter
6
3
Sutter
Stepan
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Sutter
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (343)
46.8% (991)
+2.2%
Power Play
64.7% (17)
48.8% (211)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
44.1% (102)
48.3% (174)
-4.2%
On power play, Sutter has a +15.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Sutter is 50.9% vs right-shot opponents (114).
Sutter shoots right. Stepan is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Sutter
Stepan
Home
46.8% (222)
48.6% (666)
Away
50.0% (240)
46.1% (710)
By Period
Sutter
Stepan
P1
41.5%
46.3%
P2
52.2%
50.7%
P3
51.3%
45.5%
OT
50.0%
39.1%
Final 5 min
45.8%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Sutter
62.0%▲
57.0%
48.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:59 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 19:39 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 15:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 09:57 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 3 | 03:31 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 08:21 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 04:52 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 02:23 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 03:55 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 17:51 | Neutral | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 14:13 | Defensive | Brandon Sutter |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 05:43 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 05:08 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 1 | 04:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |