Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.9% vs 44.1%). Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Laich wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Stepan shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Laich 46.0% vs Stepan 44.5% (-0.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 63.1%
Defensive zone
Laich 53.9%
Neutral zone
Laich 50.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.3%
46.7%
53.3%
Laich
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Laich
Stepan
Last 8: Laich 4-4 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
3
Laich
Stepan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Laich
3
0
Laich
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Laich
Stepan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Laich
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (118)
43.5% (942)
+5.7%
Penalty Kill
36.3% (80)
43.0% (128)
-6.7%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +6.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Laich is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (66).
Laich shoots left. Stepan is 44.2% vs left-shot opponents (812).
Home / Away
Laich
Stepan
Home
46.9% (128)
45.6% (629)
Away
38.6% (70)
42.5% (603)
By Period
Laich
Stepan
P1
35.8%
44.7%
P2
49.4%
43.7%
P3
45.0%
43.9%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
47.5%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Laich
48.0%▲
44.5%
43.9%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
44.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 13:51 | Neutral | Brooks Laich |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 14:04 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 11, 2015 | 1 | 06:16 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Mar 11, 2015 | 2 | 11:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 3 | 14:35 | Defensive | Brooks Laich |
| Dec 23, 2014 | 2 | 12:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |