Scouting Report
Bryan Little holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Little on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Little 52.3% vs Stepan 47.5% (+5.2%)
H2H factor
Little leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Little 79.9%
Defensive zone
Little 64.7%
Neutral zone
Little 80.1%
Result
Bryan Little favored at 75.4%
75.4%
24.6%
Little
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
2
(10 meetings)
8
2
Little
Stepan
Last 10: Little 8-2 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
1
Little
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Little
3
0
Little
Stepan
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Little
2
1
Little
Stepan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Little
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (796)
46.8% (991)
+6.2%
Power Play
56.0% (116)
48.8% (211)
+7.2%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (90)
48.3% (174)
-5.0%
On power play, Little has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Little is 51.8% vs right-shot opponents (326).
Little shoots right. Stepan is 46.9% vs right-shot opponents (418).
Home / Away
Little
Stepan
Home
53.6% (491)
48.6% (666)
Away
51.5% (511)
46.1% (710)
By Period
Little
Stepan
P1
55.4%
46.3%
P2
50.6%
50.7%
P3
52.1%
45.5%
OT
37.5%
39.1%
Final 5 min
57.9%
42.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Little
46.0%▬
47.0%
52.5%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2019 | 3 | 09:29 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Apr 6, 2019 | 2 | 07:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 19:23 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 18:37 | Neutral | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 3 | 15:43 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 2 | 14:26 | Offensive | Bryan Little |
| Feb 24, 2019 | 1 | 08:21 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 15:37 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 3 | 11:41 | Defensive | Bryan Little |
| Oct 20, 2018 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Bryan Little |