Scouting Report
David Krejci holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Krejci 54.5% vs Stepan 46.2% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 9-3 in 12 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 74.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 66.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 75.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 73.7%
26.3%
73.7%
Krejci
Stepan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
9
(12 meetings)
3
9
Krejci
Stepan
Last 10: Krejci 3-7 Stepan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
3
Krejci
Stepan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
0
2
Krejci
Stepan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
4
Krejci
Stepan
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Krejci
Stepan
Edge
Even Strength
54.6% (579)
48.0% (750)
+6.6%
Power Play
59.4% (64)
36.3% (113)
+23.1%
Penalty Kill
63.6% (11)
41.6% (113)
+22.0%
On power play, Krejci has a +23.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stepan shoots right. Krejci is 47.6% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Krejci shoots right. Stepan is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (360).
Home / Away
Krejci
Stepan
Home
57.4% (319)
47.4% (460)
Away
53.1% (335)
44.5% (517)
By Period
Krejci
Stepan
P1
55.5%
50.3%
P2
55.6%
38.4%
P3
54.3%
49.4%
OT
60.0%
27.3%
Final 5 min
58.3%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Krejci
36.0%▼
43.5%
55.2%
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2013 | OT | 01:18 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 15:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 13:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 3 | 10:06 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 04:10 | Offensive | David Krejci |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:17 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | David Krejci |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 04:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 12, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 23, 2013 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 15:14 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 19, 2013 | 3 | 14:26 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |