Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.3% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Brassard shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Brassard 50.0% (+4.3%)
Offensive zone
Stepan 50.9%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.1%
Neutral zone
Stepan 52.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.3%
51.3%
48.7%
Stepan
Brassard
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Brassard
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
49.6% (230)
+5.7%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
53.8% (26)
-53.8%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
50.0% (30)
+0.8%
On power play, Brassard has a +53.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Brassard shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Brassard is 45.4% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Stepan
Brassard
Home
57.7% (213)
51.7% (143)
Away
50.7% (209)
48.3% (143)
By Period
Stepan
Brassard
P1
56.3%
46.4%
P2
48.9%
50.6%
P3
57.1%
53.9%
Final 5 min
57.6%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Brassard
42.0%▼
52.0%
50.0%