Scouting Report
Elias Lindholm holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 44.8% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 45.5% vs Lindholm 47.4% (-1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 67.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.1%
Neutral zone
Lindholm 55.8%
Result
Elias Lindholm favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Stepan
Lindholm
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Stepan
Lindholm
Last 5: Stepan 3-2 Lindholm
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lindholm
0
1
Stepan
Lindholm
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Lindholm
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Stepan
Lindholm
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
43.8% (1,141)
43.0% (172)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.2% (253)
60.4% (53)
-8.2%
Penalty Kill
43.2% (118)
0.0% (4)
+43.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +43.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Stepan is 44.8% vs right-shot opponents (484).
Stepan shoots right. Lindholm is 39.7% vs right-shot opponents (78).
Home / Away
Stepan
Lindholm
Home
47.8% (828)
49.6% (133)
Away
42.0% (684)
41.7% (96)
By Period
Stepan
Lindholm
P1
49.5%
47.5%
P2
42.0%
46.7%
P3
44.3%
44.4%
OT
41.2%
50.0%
Final 5 min
47.2%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.2%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
46.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 01:46 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 11, 2014 | 1 | 00:32 | Neutral | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 3 | 08:39 | Offensive | Elias Lindholm |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 2 | 09:14 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 2, 2013 | 1 | 06:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |