Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +3.0% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 53.3% vs right-shot opponents — Lindholm shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Lindholm 52.7% (+3.0%)
Offensive zone
Lindholm 57.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 60.2%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Stepan
Lindholm
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Lindholm
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
52.4% (1,156)
+2.1%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
59.6% (198)
-59.6%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
49.6% (238)
+15.1%
On power play, Lindholm has a +59.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lindholm shoots right. Stepan is 53.3% vs right-shot opponents (120).
Stepan shoots right. Lindholm is 47.7% vs right-shot opponents (371).
Home / Away
Stepan
Lindholm
Home
54.5% (222)
52.3% (771)
Away
57.2% (222)
53.5% (821)
By Period
Stepan
Lindholm
P1
57.5%
50.7%
P2
54.7%
55.3%
P3
55.9%
54.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Lindholm
58.0%▬
58.5%
52.9%