Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (54.3% vs 54.2%). Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Haula shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Haula 53.8% (+0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Haula 54.3%
Defensive zone
Haula 51.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.0%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 50.7%
50.7%
49.3%
Stepan
Haula
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
1
(2 meetings)
1
1
Stepan
Haula
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Haula
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haula
0
1
Stepan
Haula
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Haula
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
54.5% (881)
+0.8%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
68.4% (57)
-68.4%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
45.4% (119)
+5.4%
On power play, Haula has a +68.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haula shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Haula is 55.2% vs right-shot opponents (366).
Home / Away
Stepan
Haula
Home
57.7% (213)
55.4% (520)
Away
50.7% (209)
53.1% (537)
By Period
Stepan
Haula
P1
56.3%
56.5%
P2
48.9%
53.3%
P3
57.1%
53.8%
Final 5 min
57.6%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Haula
54.0%▲
48.5%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2023 | 3 | 10:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 01:09 | Neutral | Erik Haula |