Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Kuznetsov on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Kuznetsov 44.1% (+4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 68.4%
Defensive zone
Kuznetsov 59.6%
Neutral zone
Kuznetsov 62.9%
Result
Evgeny Kuznetsov favored at 63.1%
36.9%
63.1%
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Last 5: Stepan 1-4 Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
2
Stepan
Kuznetsov
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
1
2
Stepan
Kuznetsov
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
43.5% (747)
+3.8%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
46.3% (41)
+8.1%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
26.7% (15)
+18.5%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +18.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.1% vs right-shot opponents (237).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Home
50.4% (560)
43.7% (414)
Away
45.1% (637)
42.9% (389)
By Period
Stepan
Kuznetsov
P1
47.4%
43.7%
P2
47.0%
44.1%
P3
48.1%
42.1%
OT
50.0%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.7%
45.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
43.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2019 | 3 | 02:18 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 18:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 2 | 13:15 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Nov 11, 2019 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |