Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +6.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Kuznetsov shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Kuznetsov 47.7% (+6.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kuznetsov 54.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 74.3%
Neutral zone
Stepan 66.8%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kuznetsov
0
1
Stepan
Kuznetsov
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
0
Stepan
Kuznetsov
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
47.7% (927)
+7.6%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
53.5% (71)
-53.5%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
39.4% (71)
+11.4%
On power play, Kuznetsov has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuznetsov shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Kuznetsov is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (340).
Home / Away
Stepan
Kuznetsov
Home
57.7% (213)
45.9% (534)
Away
50.7% (209)
49.2% (535)
By Period
Stepan
Kuznetsov
P1
56.3%
44.8%
P2
48.9%
52.1%
P3
57.1%
44.5%
Final 5 min
57.6%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Kuznetsov
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2022 | 3 | 02:09 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 2 | 07:39 | Offensive | Evgeny Kuznetsov |
| Oct 31, 2022 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |