Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nielsen on neutral-zone draws (73% H2H, 11 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.2% vs Nielsen 48.3% (-2.1%)
H2H factor
Nielsen leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 75.6%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 54.0%
Neutral zone
Stepan 58.9%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
Stepan
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
Stepan
Nielsen
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
2
Stepan
Nielsen
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
2
6
Stepan
Nielsen
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
3
8
Stepan
Nielsen
11 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
48.0% (750)
50.0% (392)
-2.0%
Power Play
36.3% (113)
65.0% (20)
-28.7%
Penalty Kill
41.6% (113)
40.4% (146)
+1.2%
On power play, Nielsen has a +28.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Stepan is 48.5% vs left-shot opponents (617).
Stepan shoots right. Nielsen is 50.6% vs right-shot opponents (265).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nielsen
Home
47.4% (460)
48.9% (274)
Away
44.5% (517)
47.2% (284)
By Period
Stepan
Nielsen
P1
50.3%
47.9%
P2
38.4%
49.7%
P3
49.4%
46.3%
OT
27.3%
50.0%
Final 5 min
48.1%
47.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
45.9%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 13, 2013 | OT | 00:12 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 05:06 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 04:59 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 03:10 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 12:14 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 09:31 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 09:19 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Apr 13, 2013 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2013 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 17:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 10:36 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 02:51 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 11:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Mar 7, 2013 | 1 | 08:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |