Scouting Report
Frans Nielsen holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 47 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Nielsen 48.5% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 76-66 in 142 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 58.3%
Defensive zone
Nielsen 61.9%
Neutral zone
Nielsen 57.2%
Result
Frans Nielsen favored at 53.4%
46.6%
53.4%
Stepan
Nielsen
Head-to-Head Record
76
-
66
(142 meetings)
76
66
Stepan
Nielsen
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Nielsen
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
35
12
Stepan
Nielsen
47 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nielsen
17
23
Stepan
Nielsen
40 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nielsen
24
31
Stepan
Nielsen
55 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Nielsen
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
49.3% (7,608)
-2.8%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
54.7% (594)
-5.9%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
41.7% (1,420)
+2.5%
On power play, Nielsen has a +5.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nielsen shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Nielsen is 47.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,660).
Home / Away
Stepan
Nielsen
Home
47.6% (6,608)
49.9% (4,766)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
47.1% (4,890)
By Period
Stepan
Nielsen
P1
47.5%
49.7%
P2
45.6%
47.6%
P3
46.8%
48.2%
OT
40.7%
46.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Nielsen
50.0%▬
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2019 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 2 | 13:18 | Defensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Dec 22, 2019 | 1 | 15:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 12:07 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:14 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:38 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 17:22 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:29 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 12:24 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 13, 2018 | 1 | 03:12 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:18 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 12:10 | Offensive | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 10:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 15:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 12:30 | Neutral | Frans Nielsen |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 07:36 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 1 | 16:16 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 31, 2017 | 1 | 05:28 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |