Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +2.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Haas on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Stepan wins 44.0% vs right-shot opponents — Haas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Haas 44.3% (+2.9%)
H2H factor
Haas leads 8-2 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Haas 58.0%
Defensive zone
Haas 61.4%
Neutral zone
Haas 64.1%
Result
Gaetan Haas favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
Stepan
Haas
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
8
(10 meetings)
2
8
Stepan
Haas
Last 10: Stepan 2-8 Haas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Haas
0
1
Stepan
Haas
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Haas
0
4
Stepan
Haas
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Haas
2
3
Stepan
Haas
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Haas
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
42.4% (616)
+4.1%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
51.5% (33)
-2.7%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
50.8% (65)
-6.6%
On penalty kill, Haas has a +6.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Haas shoots right. Stepan is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (3,991).
Stepan shoots right. Haas is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (214).
Home / Away
Stepan
Haas
Home
47.6% (6,608)
45.8% (371)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
41.1% (343)
By Period
Stepan
Haas
P1
47.5%
39.6%
P2
45.6%
43.8%
P3
46.8%
47.1%
Final 5 min
47.5%
44.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Haas
54.0%▲
48.5%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 07:07 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 2, 2021 | 3 | 00:59 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 11:31 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 31, 2021 | 2 | 03:13 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:58 | Offensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 17:57 | Defensive | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 17:49 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Feb 4, 2020 | 3 | 05:23 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |
| Jan 18, 2020 | 2 | 16:35 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 4, 2019 | 1 | 06:44 | Neutral | Gaetan Haas |