Scouting Report
Greg McKegg holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs McKegg 49.2% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 7-4 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Stepan 59.5%
Defensive zone
McKegg 64.9%
Neutral zone
McKegg 59.9%
Result
Greg McKegg favored at 54.7%
45.3%
54.7%
Stepan
McKegg
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
4
(11 meetings)
7
4
Stepan
McKegg
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 McKegg
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
1
Stepan
McKegg
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Stepan
McKegg
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
2
1
Stepan
McKegg
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
McKegg
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
49.1% (1,143)
-2.6%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
50.0% (24)
-1.2%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.8% (86)
-4.6%
On penalty kill, McKegg has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McKegg shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. McKegg is 52.9% vs right-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Stepan
McKegg
Home
47.6% (6,608)
50.4% (554)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
48.1% (699)
By Period
Stepan
McKegg
P1
47.5%
48.7%
P2
45.6%
49.9%
P3
46.8%
48.6%
Final 5 min
47.5%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
McKegg
40.0%▼
48.0%
49.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:29 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 20, 2022 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 3 | 02:45 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 11:34 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 2 | 08:50 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 13:41 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:48 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 13, 2017 | 1 | 07:43 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 11:52 | Neutral | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Greg McKegg |
| Nov 20, 2016 | 1 | 05:35 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |