Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +8.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Miller on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 46.6% vs Miller 54.8% (-8.4%)
H2H factor
Miller leads 10-9 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Miller 51.4%
Defensive zone
Stepan 50.6%
Neutral zone
Miller 50.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 50.1%
49.9%
50.1%
Stepan
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
10
(19 meetings)
9
10
Stepan
Miller
Last 10: Stepan 6-4 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
2
4
Stepan
Miller
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
5
Stepan
Miller
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Stepan
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
46.5% (10,204)
55.2% (6,648)
-8.7%
Power Play
48.8% (1,593)
57.9% (1,285)
-9.1%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,368)
48.2% (913)
-4.0%
On power play, Miller has a +9.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Stepan is 47.6% vs left-shot opponents (9,190).
Stepan shoots right. Miller is 55.8% vs right-shot opponents (2,937).
Home / Away
Stepan
Miller
Home
47.6% (6,608)
55.9% (4,578)
Away
45.5% (6,573)
53.8% (4,268)
By Period
Stepan
Miller
P1
47.5%
54.7%
P2
45.6%
55.6%
P3
46.8%
54.0%
OT
40.7%
62.3%
Final 5 min
47.5%
55.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
46.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 3 | 08:41 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 2 | 15:20 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 19:10 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 25, 2021 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 19:35 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 04:15 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 3 | 02:17 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 26, 2018 | 2 | 12:57 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 3 | 09:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 6, 2018 | 2 | 11:42 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |
| Oct 26, 2017 | 3 | 06:52 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |