Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Miller shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Miller 53.8% (+1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stepan 53.7%
Defensive zone
Stepan 59.6%
Neutral zone
Stepan 54.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.7%
53.7%
46.3%
Stepan
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Stepan
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
55.5% (933)
-1.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
61.6% (73)
-61.6%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
45.8% (227)
+18.9%
On power play, Miller has a +61.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Miller is 53.2% vs right-shot opponents (464).
Home / Away
Stepan
Miller
Home
54.5% (222)
53.5% (578)
Away
57.2% (222)
54.7% (655)
By Period
Stepan
Miller
P1
57.5%
58.3%
P2
54.7%
53.5%
P3
55.9%
50.1%
Final 5 min
57.5%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 12, 2021 | 2 | 15:58 | Offensive | J.T. Miller |