Scouting Report
J.T. Miller holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.7% vs Miller 58.1% (-11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Miller 94.4%
Defensive zone
Miller 63.1%
Neutral zone
Miller 90.6%
Result
J.T. Miller favored at 71.5%
28.5%
71.5%
Stepan
Miller
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Stepan
Miller
Last 7: Stepan 5-2 Miller
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Miller
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
4
1
Stepan
Miller
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Miller
0
1
Stepan
Miller
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Miller
Edge
Even Strength
47.3% (877)
58.4% (618)
-11.1%
Power Play
54.4% (103)
69.1% (55)
-14.7%
Penalty Kill
45.2% (217)
57.8% (45)
-12.6%
On power play, Miller has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Miller shoots left. Stepan is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (905).
Stepan shoots right. Miller is 60.6% vs right-shot opponents (221).
Home / Away
Stepan
Miller
Home
50.4% (560)
58.7% (390)
Away
45.1% (637)
59.8% (328)
By Period
Stepan
Miller
P1
47.4%
59.5%
P2
47.0%
61.6%
P3
48.1%
56.4%
OT
50.0%
46.2%
Final 5 min
48.7%
64.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.5%
Miller
62.0%▬
61.5%
59.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2020 | 3 | 19:25 | Neutral | J.T. Miller |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 13:36 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Mar 4, 2020 | 2 | 01:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 3 | 03:17 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 2 | 02:11 | Defensive | J.T. Miller |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 06:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2020 | 1 | 02:34 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |