Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Roslovic 45.5% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Roslovic 53.3%
Defensive zone
Stepan 75.9%
Neutral zone
Stepan 68.6%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 75.9%
75.9%
24.1%
Stepan
Roslovic
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Roslovic
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Roslovic
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Roslovic
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
45.8% (729)
+9.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
42.9% (105)
-42.9%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
38.2% (55)
+12.6%
On power play, Roslovic has a +42.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Roslovic shoots right. Stepan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (108).
Stepan shoots right. Roslovic is 43.7% vs right-shot opponents (323).
Home / Away
Stepan
Roslovic
Home
57.7% (213)
45.4% (447)
Away
50.7% (209)
44.6% (442)
By Period
Stepan
Roslovic
P1
56.3%
43.2%
P2
48.9%
44.7%
P3
57.1%
47.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
43.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
45.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:19 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |