Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Leschyshyn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Leschyshyn 47.1% (+9.9%)
Offensive zone
Leschyshyn 50.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 57.5%
Neutral zone
Stepan 53.5%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 53.6%
53.6%
46.4%
Stepan
Leschyshyn
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Leschyshyn
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
47.1% (255)
+7.4%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (2)
-50.0%
Penalty Kill
64.7% (68)
12.5% (8)
+52.2%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +52.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leschyshyn shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Leschyshyn is 42.7% vs right-shot opponents (96).
Home / Away
Stepan
Leschyshyn
Home
54.5% (222)
46.7% (105)
Away
57.2% (222)
45.6% (160)
By Period
Stepan
Leschyshyn
P1
57.5%
40.5%
P2
54.7%
44.3%
P3
55.9%
51.5%
Final 5 min
57.5%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Leschyshyn
44.0%▼
49.5%
46.0%