Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.2% vs Benn 51.2% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 75.3%
Defensive zone
Benn 56.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 66.2%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 69.3%
30.7%
69.3%
Stepan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
1
(11 meetings)
10
1
Stepan
Benn
Last 10: Stepan 9-1 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
6
1
Stepan
Benn
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
3
0
Stepan
Benn
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (1,155)
52.8% (233)
-4.6%
Power Play
48.2% (193)
53.8% (130)
-5.6%
Penalty Kill
37.9% (174)
38.8% (49)
-0.9%
On power play, Benn has a +5.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Stepan is 50.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,064).
Stepan shoots right. Benn is 46.5% vs right-shot opponents (172).
Home / Away
Stepan
Benn
Home
46.4% (774)
52.4% (212)
Away
47.7% (748)
50.5% (200)
By Period
Stepan
Benn
P1
46.7%
55.8%
P2
46.3%
45.0%
P3
48.1%
53.4%
OT
47.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
46.7%
49.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.0%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 10:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 04:21 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 3 | 04:16 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 17:42 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 17, 2017 | 1 | 12:16 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 16:21 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 3 | 16:00 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 2 | 15:22 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 2 | 10:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 2 | 04:14 | Neutral | Derek Stepan |
| Dec 15, 2016 | 1 | 17:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |