Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 54.8% vs left-shot opponents — Benn shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 53.4% vs Benn 59.1% (-5.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 85.1%
Defensive zone
Stepan 51.5%
Neutral zone
Benn 62.7%
Result
Derek Stepan favored at 51.5%
51.5%
48.5%
Stepan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
Stepan
Benn
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Benn
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (358)
61.8% (584)
-6.5%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
56.7% (224)
-56.7%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (61)
56.1% (57)
-5.3%
On power play, Benn has a +56.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Stepan is 54.8% vs left-shot opponents (314).
Stepan shoots right. Benn is 54.7% vs right-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Stepan
Benn
Home
57.7% (213)
64.4% (433)
Away
50.7% (209)
55.8% (432)
By Period
Stepan
Benn
P1
56.3%
61.8%
P2
48.9%
59.6%
P3
57.1%
59.2%
Final 5 min
57.6%
62.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
54.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
60.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2023 | 1 | 07:28 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |