Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Stepan on defensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 47.5% vs Benn 49.2% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Stepan leads 10-4 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 78.8%
Defensive zone
Stepan 63.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 50.4%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 54.5%
45.5%
54.5%
Stepan
Benn
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
4
(14 meetings)
10
4
Stepan
Benn
Last 10: Stepan 7-3 Benn
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
Benn
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
7
1
Stepan
Benn
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Benn
Edge
Even Strength
46.8% (991)
49.8% (297)
-3.0%
Power Play
48.8% (211)
49.5% (97)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
48.3% (174)
37.5% (24)
+10.8%
On penalty kill, Stepan has a +10.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Benn shoots left. Stepan is 47.5% vs left-shot opponents (958).
Stepan shoots right. Benn is 44.0% vs right-shot opponents (200).
Home / Away
Stepan
Benn
Home
48.6% (666)
48.5% (227)
Away
46.1% (710)
49.7% (191)
By Period
Stepan
Benn
P1
46.3%
51.4%
P2
50.7%
40.4%
P3
45.5%
55.5%
OT
39.1%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.9%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
47.3%
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
49.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 16:33 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 3 | 00:09 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 9, 2019 | 1 | 16:33 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 3 | 14:27 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 2 | 02:02 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 4, 2019 | 1 | 02:12 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:45 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 18:24 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 2 | 09:13 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:16 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 17:11 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 15:20 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 04:15 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Oct 4, 2018 | 1 | 00:10 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |