Scouting Report
Jason Spezza holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 50.0% vs Spezza 55.7% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Spezza 50.8%
Defensive zone
Spezza 61.8%
Neutral zone
Stepan 51.2%
Result
Jason Spezza favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
Stepan
Spezza
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
4
(8 meetings)
4
4
Stepan
Spezza
Last 8: Stepan 4-4 Spezza
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Stepan
1
0
Stepan
Spezza
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
3
3
Stepan
Spezza
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Spezza
0
1
Stepan
Spezza
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Spezza
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (207)
57.9% (292)
-5.2%
Power Play
50.0% (26)
62.3% (53)
-12.3%
Penalty Kill
29.6% (27)
52.9% (138)
-23.3%
On penalty kill, Spezza has a +23.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Spezza shoots right. Stepan is 47.1% vs right-shot opponents (68).
Stepan shoots right. Spezza is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (136).
Home / Away
Stepan
Spezza
Home
46.0% (113)
58.4% (238)
Away
53.1% (147)
55.5% (245)
By Period
Stepan
Spezza
P1
48.5%
59.2%
P2
49.4%
54.8%
P3
52.6%
57.4%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
50.0%
Spezza
46.0%▼
48.5%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 18, 2021 | 2 | 19:33 | Offensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 17:51 | Neutral | Jason Spezza |
| Feb 18, 2021 | 1 | 04:03 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:59 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Feb 15, 2021 | 2 | 15:52 | Defensive | Derek Stepan |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 12:27 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 3 | 08:44 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |
| Jan 16, 2021 | 1 | 04:36 | Defensive | Jason Spezza |