Scouting Report
Derek Stepan holds a +11.9% FO% edge overall. Stepan wins 56.8% vs left-shot opponents — Thornton shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Stepan 54.8% vs Thornton 46.2% (+11.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Thornton 72.2%
Defensive zone
Stepan 65.3%
Neutral zone
Thornton 54.0%
Result
Joe Thornton favored at 54.0%
46.0%
54.0%
Stepan
Thornton
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Stepan
Thornton
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thornton
0
1
Stepan
Thornton
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Stepan
Thornton
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (374)
43.5% (161)
+11.0%
Power Play
0.0% (2)
50.0% (14)
-50.0%
On power play, Thornton has a +50.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thornton shoots left. Stepan is 56.8% vs left-shot opponents (324).
Stepan shoots right. Thornton is 38.8% vs right-shot opponents (67).
Home / Away
Stepan
Thornton
Home
54.5% (222)
41.5% (106)
Away
57.2% (222)
47.8% (69)
By Period
Stepan
Thornton
P1
57.5%
50.8%
P2
54.7%
41.0%
P3
55.9%
40.0%
Final 5 min
57.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Stepan
50.0%▼
55.5%
55.9%
Thornton
44.0%▼
46.5%
44.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2022 | 3 | 01:45 | Neutral | Joe Thornton |